TY - JOUR
T1 - An electricity big data application to reveal the chronological linkages between industries
AU - He, Kehan
AU - Coffman, D’Maris
AU - Hou, Xingzhe
AU - Li, Jinkai
AU - Mi, Zhifu
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
PY - 2025
Y1 - 2025
N2 - Effective integration and compromise between theories and empirical data are essential for an operational economic model. However, existing economic models often neglect the intricate fluctuations and transitions that occur in weeks and days. This research proposes an Input–Output-based algorithm to introduce the time domain into economic modelling. Using daily electricity consumption big data in Chongqing as a proxy for economic activities, we quantitatively analyse the chronological interactions among industrial sectors and reveal that a longer duration is required by the heavy industry sector to signal an intermediate production in the service sector than any other sectors in this municipality. With the proposed model, we forecast the economic impact induced by demand changes for consumer goods under three growth scenarios. The model not only serves as a methodological bridge between theoretical and data-driven approaches but also offers new insights into the dynamic interplay of sectoral activities over time.
AB - Effective integration and compromise between theories and empirical data are essential for an operational economic model. However, existing economic models often neglect the intricate fluctuations and transitions that occur in weeks and days. This research proposes an Input–Output-based algorithm to introduce the time domain into economic modelling. Using daily electricity consumption big data in Chongqing as a proxy for economic activities, we quantitatively analyse the chronological interactions among industrial sectors and reveal that a longer duration is required by the heavy industry sector to signal an intermediate production in the service sector than any other sectors in this municipality. With the proposed model, we forecast the economic impact induced by demand changes for consumer goods under three growth scenarios. The model not only serves as a methodological bridge between theoretical and data-driven approaches but also offers new insights into the dynamic interplay of sectoral activities over time.
KW - chronological economic modelling
KW - economic cybernetics
KW - electricity big data
KW - input–output analysis
KW - Sequential interindustry model
UR - http://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/86000383774
U2 - 10.1080/09535314.2024.2357167
DO - 10.1080/09535314.2024.2357167
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:86000383774
SN - 0953-5314
VL - 37
SP - 76
EP - 94
JO - Economic Systems Research
JF - Economic Systems Research
IS - 1
ER -