An electricity big data application to reveal the chronological linkages between industries

Kehan He, D’Maris Coffman, Xingzhe Hou, Jinkai Li*, Zhifu Mi*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Effective integration and compromise between theories and empirical data are essential for an operational economic model. However, existing economic models often neglect the intricate fluctuations and transitions that occur in weeks and days. This research proposes an Input–Output-based algorithm to introduce the time domain into economic modelling. Using daily electricity consumption big data in Chongqing as a proxy for economic activities, we quantitatively analyse the chronological interactions among industrial sectors and reveal that a longer duration is required by the heavy industry sector to signal an intermediate production in the service sector than any other sectors in this municipality. With the proposed model, we forecast the economic impact induced by demand changes for consumer goods under three growth scenarios. The model not only serves as a methodological bridge between theoretical and data-driven approaches but also offers new insights into the dynamic interplay of sectoral activities over time.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)76-94
Number of pages19
JournalEconomic Systems Research
Volume37
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025

Keywords

  • chronological economic modelling
  • economic cybernetics
  • electricity big data
  • input–output analysis
  • Sequential interindustry model

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